Lots of options shaping up for Friday am..............
The wind and waves are going to ramp up huge through the overnight hours. This pressure of this low should really fall and the track is setup for a big wind event for the Lower Mainland. It's not going to be on par with Saturday but it'll still be a good one. Too bad the majority of the wind is coming after dark.
There's a couple of good probabilities for Friday morning in random order:
1.) Locust will hold on to a SSE-SSW direction for several hours after sunrise on Friday. The occluded front and low will really drop the barometric pressure. The post frontal pressure rise and filling southerly winds should be pretty strong and last for a while. Best bet for the longest session is to hit the water for dawn patrol. I would guess S 25-35mph
2.) Any SE to S facing beach should have great wind waves for dawn patrol surf Friday morning. The SE winds should crank 40-60 mph most of the night veering to S just before dawn. Pick your spot for the tidal conditions and enjoy
3.) 3rd has a good chance of 3-4 hours of SSE winds for dawn patrol. As with Locust, the first few hours of pressure rise after the barometer bottoms out should lock in a pretty good southerly push on the west side of Boundary Bay. There shouldn't be an extreme wind direction swing to the WSW that would kill it quickly. The projected track of this low is setup more to gradually throttle the wind speed back versus compared to completely tanking.
4.) The WRB SW Unicorn................also good buddies with the JWSP Unicorn
There's an outside chance the low will hook slightly south after it passes inland and setup the SW gradient required for an epic WRB morning. These are pretty rare but worth watching for. Look for strong SSW - SW winds forecast in the Victoria TAF. You want a rising barometric pressure tendency for a few hours at Discovery Island, Friday Harbour and Saturna Island with a falling or steady pressure in Abbotsford. Actuals at Saturna should be 25+ knots with a direction between 200 and 230 degrees. All of these variables are present when you guys get the epic SW days at WRB.
Cheers,
Chris