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S-SW Tuesday Local

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by Chris Klohn » Sun Nov 15, 2015 8:35 pm

Tuesday looks solid for all local beaches with a good southern exposure. The winds will back off slightly in the early am hours after the 50+ mph SE winds Monday night with the associated warm front moves through.

However, winds will quickly rebuild again mid morning as the deep low pressure impulse tracks across southern Vancouver Island. The centre of this low will be critical to the local winds. The current track has it setup perfectly for a huge southerly blow on Tuesday. If the low tracks just 20 miles further south of the projected path the local winds will be all over the map.

As it stands now, expect winds to increase to S-SSW 35-45+ mph by mid morning Tuesday. The winds will stay strong all day and quickly switch to W 30-40 mph in the afternoon as the low pressure centre tracks inland. Winds will veer further to NW and slowly subside in the evening.

The best bet locally looks to be a dawn patrol session at 3rd followed by an afternoon session at a beach that can take a veering S to SSW wind. Something along the lines of PR, Crescent or WRB would work for the afternoon.

This one has the potential for crazy wind speeds depending on how close the centre of the low tracks to the north of us. 90%+ positive it's going to be a big wind day from dawn patrol to early afternoon hours with the current forecast.

Cheers,

Chris
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by Chris Klohn » Sun Nov 15, 2015 8:46 pm

7pm model runs look unreal for mid am until mid afternoon hours.
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by Alton » Mon Nov 16, 2015 5:11 am

White Rock looking (wind and tide) Tue afternoon :D :D :D

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by Alton » Mon Nov 16, 2015 6:53 am

EC Vancouver wrote:Tue Nov 17 ... Wind south 30 to 50 km/h becoming west 40 to 60 in the afternoon
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by AdrienGrelon » Mon Nov 16, 2015 10:33 am

This could be an Ambleside lunch session for me (on the JP, sadly).
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by Michael » Mon Nov 16, 2015 10:40 am

AdrienGrelon wrote:This could be an Ambleside lunch session for me (on the JP, sadly).

Hope you get out, real drag about your board. :(
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by Alton » Mon Nov 16, 2015 10:43 am

At least it will be warmer Tuesday (11-13°C)
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by ezzylover » Mon Nov 16, 2015 10:44 am

AdrienGrelon wrote:This could be an Ambleside lunch session for me (on the JP, sadly).


what happened to the pickle ??
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by AdrienGrelon » Mon Nov 16, 2015 10:58 am

ezzylover wrote:
AdrienGrelon wrote:This could be an Ambleside lunch session for me (on the JP, sadly).


what happened to the pickle ??

The pickle is fine. My new Kode 82l - both slot boxes blown out yesterday in the Spanish Banks minefield...

Thanks for your condolences, Michael. I'll have it in with Roberts hopefully soon and it'll all be sorted.
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by Chris Klohn » Mon Nov 16, 2015 11:01 am

Hey Guys,

I don't see the switch to WSW or W happening until late tomorrow afternoon. Looks like an epic 3rd day with SSE-S winds of 30-40 knots gusting to 50+ in the afternoon. That low is set to track over the perfect line for a full on insane wind day. It should make today look moderate in comparison. 3.0 sails and 5.0 meter kites.

Have fun,

Chris
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